Elsa’s path cone.
The area of low pressures associated with the tropical wave in the mid-Atlantic continued to increase regulation and last night It initially became a fifth tropical depression and then at dawn Tropical Storm ELSA, the fifth of the current hurricane season.
At 8 a.m., the center of this tropical storm was estimated at 9.6 degrees north latitude and 50.2 degrees west longitude, a location that places it 1255 kilometers east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles arc.
This organism is moving rapidly towards the west at a speed of 41 kilometers per hour. The maximum wind speed is 65 kilometers per hour, with higher gusts and a central pressure of 1006 hectopascals.
Forecasting models are consistent in the course and evolution of this tropical storm in the 24-48 hour period, but it is beginning to show some dispersion from its transit through the Caribbean. Some models weaken it as they enter the Caribbean and others maintain it as a tropical system, which can remain as a tropical storm or even reach Category 1 Hurricane, moving to the northwest over the Lesser Antilles tomorrow Friday, July 2 and approaching southern Hispaniola on the third Saturday and fourth Sunday east of Cuba.
From night until early morning from Saturday to Sunday, the effects of Elsa can begin to appear in eastern Cuba, and much attention should be paid to rains that can be strong and intense in different locations, given the soil saturation and orthography in eastern Cuba. These conditions will be gradually transferred to the central and western regions of the country.
Information on the impacts of hazards associated with Elsa, such as precipitation, wind, and sea condition, will be included in the tropical cyclone warnings issued by the Forecast Center for this tropical storm.
(With information from Insmet)
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